2021 WNBA Predictions


2021 WNBA PredictionsUpdated after every game.

More WNBA:[a][b][c][d] How this works

STANDINGS GAMESAces Dream Fever Liberty Lynx Mercury Mystics Sky Sparks Storm Sun Wings

REGULAR SEASON PLAYOFFS
RANK ELO RATING 1-WEEK CHANGE TEAM PROJ. RECORD PROJ. POINT DIFF/G CHANCE OF MAKING PLAYOFFS CHANCE OF MAKING FINALS CHANCE OF WINNING FINALS
1 1621 Storm0-0 21-11 +5.1 96% 51% 31%
2 1551 Aces0-0 18-14 +2.1 84% 26% 13%
3 1546 Sun0-0 18-14 +2.0 83% 25% 12%
4 1525 Sparks0-0 17-15 +0.9 77% 19% 9%
5 1521 Lynx0-0 17-15 +0.9 77% 18% 8%
6 1513 Mercury0-0 17-15 +0.6 74% 16% 7%
7 1500 Sky0-0 16-16 0.0 70% 14% 6%
8 1497 Mystics0-0 16-16 -0.1 68% 13% 5%
9 1460 Wings0-0 14-18 -1.8 53% 7% 3%
10 1447 Dream0-0 14-18 -2.2 49% 6% 2%
11 1434 Fever0-0 13-19 -2.8 43% 5% 2%
12 1385 Liberty0-0 11-21 -4.8 26% 2% <1%

Forecast from Today🏀 MORE WNBA COVERAGE 🏀The WNBA Drafted The Most International Players In 20 Years. But Its Rosters Aren’t Big Enough For Everyone.By Marisa IngemiThe WNBA Training Camp Battles To WatchBy Howard Megdal

How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Read more »

Design and development by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Jasmine Mithani. Edited by Christopher Groskopf, Jennifer Mason and Sara Ziegler. Statistical model by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Illustration by Elias Stein.

 

2021 WNBA Predictions


2021 WNBA PredictionsUpdated after every game.

More WNBA:[a][b][c][d] How this works

STANDINGS GAMESAces Dream Fever Liberty Lynx Mercury Mystics Sky Sparks Storm Sun Wings

REGULAR SEASON PLAYOFFS
RANK ELO RATING 1-WEEK CHANGE TEAM PROJ. RECORD PROJ. POINT DIFF/G CHANCE OF MAKING PLAYOFFS CHANCE OF MAKING FINALS CHANCE OF WINNING FINALS
1 1621 Storm0-0 21-11 +5.1 96% 51% 31%
2 1551 Aces0-0 18-14 +2.1 84% 26% 13%
3 1546 Sun0-0 18-14 +2.0 83% 25% 12%
4 1525 Sparks0-0 17-15 +0.9 77% 19% 9%
5 1521 Lynx0-0 17-15 +0.9 77% 18% 8%
6 1513 Mercury0-0 17-15 +0.6 74% 16% 7%
7 1500 Sky0-0 16-16 0.0 70% 14% 6%
8 1497 Mystics0-0 16-16 -0.1 68% 13% 5%
9 1460 Wings0-0 14-18 -1.8 53% 7% 3%
10 1447 Dream0-0 14-18 -2.2 49% 6% 2%
11 1434 Fever0-0 13-19 -2.8 43% 5% 2%
12 1385 Liberty0-0 11-21 -4.8 26% 2% <1%

Forecast from Today🏀 MORE WNBA COVERAGE 🏀The WNBA Drafted The Most International Players In 20 Years. But Its Rosters Aren’t Big Enough For Everyone.By Marisa IngemiThe WNBA Training Camp Battles To WatchBy Howard Megdal

How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Read more »

Design and development by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Jasmine Mithani. Edited by Christopher Groskopf, Jennifer Mason and Sara Ziegler. Statistical model by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Illustration by Elias Stein.